Community Intelligence & Social Listening

Your audience is already telling you
what matters. We make it legible.

Not dashboards. Not sentiment scores. Not AI that sounds confident and makes things up. Verified, traceable intelligence — with every finding traced back to a specific person on a specific piece of content.

Enterprise & Brands

Competitive intelligence, audience research, brand monitoring

Boutique engagements led personally by a human analyst. For studios, agencies, and brands that need intelligence they can act on — not more dashboards to interpret.

Explore Enterprise
Creators

Know your superfans, find your next 10 videos, stop guessing

A systematic analysis of 30K–100K comments — who your real audience is, what they actually want, and who's been quietly loyal without being noticed.

Explore Creator Program
Public data only — no account access required
Every finding verified against source data — no hallucinations
3–7 day turnaround, no contracts
Founder-led — not a faceless SaaS platform
The Uncomfortable Truth About AI Analysis

You've been burned by tools that sound confident and get it wrong.

Most "AI-powered" analytics tools either scrape a sample and extrapolate, or feed raw text into a chatbot and call it analysis. Both approaches produce results that feel authoritative and can't be verified. We built a different architecture — because we had the same frustrations you do.

The Generic Approach Paste 2,000 comments into ChatGPT. Get a confident-sounding summary. Have no way to know if the statistics are real.
Headwater Quantitative pre-analysis of complete datasets. AI runs only on structured outputs. A verification engine checks every claim before it reaches your report.
Dashboard Tools Keyword monitoring. Sentiment scores. Volume charts. No way to know who said what, or whether a trend is driven by 3 people or 3,000.
Headwater Individual-level tracking across entire catalogs. Every trend attributed to actual people with full engagement histories. No interpolation.
Manual Researchers Sample hundreds of comments, extrapolate to thousands. Miss patterns that only emerge at scale. Subjective by nature.
Headwater Complete population analysis — every member, every interaction. Patterns that only exist at 50,000+ data points surface automatically.
How We Work

Three phases that make verification possible

We compute everything provable from raw data before we touch AI — then use AI only for pattern recognition on structured outputs. Verification isn't a feature. It's the architecture.

1

Quantitative Pre-Analysis

Deterministic, verifiable

Every community member classified and scored from raw engagement data. Tier assignments, advocate identification, dormant member flagging, content decay curves — all computed deterministically before AI enters the picture.

2

Knowledge Graph + RAG

Structured, not raw text

Pre-analysis outputs become a knowledge graph mapping relationships between members, content, and behavioral patterns. AI processes structured graph queries — not a wall of raw comments. The scaffold is why attribution is possible.

3

Verification Engine

Every claim checked

Every AI-generated insight is cross-referenced against the quantitative scaffold. Fabricated statistics and ungrounded claims are caught before they reach your report. Every number and quote traces to a source.

The practical result: Every statistic in our reports traces to a verified value. Every quote traces to a specific person on a specific piece of content. When we tell you that 30 formerly-active community members went quiet in the last 60 days and their final interactions were positive — we can show you exactly who they are, what they said, and when they left.
Privacy & Ethics

Community intelligence. Not surveillance.

This distinction matters to us. Headwater is built to understand how communities function as collective systems — not to build profiles on individuals or enable monitoring and control. That's a principled design choice, not a legal disclaimer.

Pseudonymization by Default

Community members are represented in reports as anonymous hashes and pseudonyms. Intelligence describes behavioral patterns — not personally identifying information tied to real-world identities.

No Cross-Platform Tracking

Analysis is scoped to the specific community dataset requested. We do not attempt to resolve identities across platforms or build persistent individual profiles that follow people across contexts.

No PII Collection

We collect no personally identifying information. Public display names are processed and pseudonymized in our pipeline. We do not store, sell, or share identifiable data.

Public Data Only

Every data point analyzed is already publicly visible to any person who visits the community. We organize and analyze what's public — we access nothing private, and we never require platform credentials or account access.

Sample Intelligence Output

Real analysis. Real numbers. Real sources.

From an actual engagement: 226K-member community, 85 content pieces, 29,591 interactions from 16,913 unique individuals. Every metric below is traceable to source data.

Why these numbers matter A "70/100 community health score" is meaningless without the source data. We show you exactly which 30 dormant advocates drove that deduction — by name, engagement history, and last known interaction.
The quote problem We don't surface anonymous sentiment. When we identify a pattern, we cite specific examples with commenter handles, video titles, and timestamps. You can verify every claim.
community_health_report_excerpt.json
Verified Output
70/100
Community Health Score
16,913
Unique Members Analyzed
92
Highly Engaged Advocates
30
Dormant Advocates — Flagged
Dormant Advocate Pattern
Top contributor Advocate_0047 has engaged across 38 of 85 content pieces with 144 interactions receiving 10,079 endorsements. 30 similarly engaged members have gone silent — their final interactions were overwhelmingly positive, indicating content gap rather than dissatisfaction. Reactivation probability: high.
Cross-Promotion Signal — Invisible to Aggregate Tools
Two verified creators with a combined 1.2M followers are active participants in this community without acknowledgment. Their engagement patterns show organic affinity unrelated to promotional activity. This collaboration signal would not appear in any keyword-based or sentiment tool.
Content Longevity Classification
23% of content (20 pieces) classified Evergreen — continuing to attract new engagement 180+ days post-publication. These pieces generate 4–8× the long-term view accumulation of Flash content. Three specific topic clusters drive this pattern. One Flash series identified as 40% of production effort with 6% of long-term reach.

Real data from a real engagement. Community members are represented as pseudonyms — the same format clients receive. Every figure is verifiable against source data upon request.

Intelligence Projects

Every community has a belief state. Most organizations don't know what it actually is.

Your community — customers, players, followers, holders — is constantly forming and updating beliefs about your product, your brand, and your competitors. Those beliefs drive purchasing decisions, loyalty, and churn. Standard analytics tells you what they're saying out loud. Headwater reads what they actually believe: who the real advocates are, where conviction is fragmenting, what narratives are forming before they become visible problems.

This is a project-based, founder-led service. Every engagement is scoped personally. You describe the question; if the methodology can answer it, we scope it honestly — cost, timeline, and deliverable — before any commitment.

Book a Free Scoping Call
30 minutes. No obligation. We'll tell you honestly if this isn't the right fit.
When This Gets Called

Your most loyal advocates are going quiet.

The aggregate metrics look fine. Sentiment is mostly positive. But something has shifted — and you can feel it before you can prove it. We map exactly who has disengaged, when it started, and what their last interactions suggested about why.

Advocate Departure · Churn Risk · Retention

You're committing significant budget based on assumptions about a community.

Sponsorship, partnership, market entry, product launch — all involve bets on how a community will respond. We tell you what that community actually believes before you commit: genuine engagement vs. manufactured consensus, real advocates vs. loud noise.

Due Diligence · Audience Verification · Market Entry

You need to understand what a community believes — not what it says.

Competitive landscape, category dynamics, unmet demand, sentiment that precedes behavior. What are the people you're trying to reach actually asking for? What concerns appear repeatedly in comments but never in reviews? Where is the real opening?

Competitive Intelligence · Audience Research · Product Insight
SF

Sam Fath — Founder & Lead Analyst

I've spent years studying how online communities form and transmit beliefs — in educational settings, in organizational transitions, and in financial markets where wrong reads on a community had immediate, measurable consequences. The analytical habits that environment demands — complete population analysis, individual-level tracking, verified attribution — are now the architecture of Headwater. The methodology works because the problem was studied in its most demanding form first.

Start with a conversation.

You describe the question. We'll tell you whether the methodology can answer it, what the analysis would involve, and what it costs — before any commitment. Projects typically start at $1,500.

Book a Free Scoping Call
30 minutes. No obligation.
Creator Program

Creators: your comments section has answers. We find them.

Who are your 50 most loyal commenters? What content has staying power vs. what dies in a week? Which fans went quiet — and why? The same pipeline that powers our enterprise analysis, automated for individual creators. From $697. Money-back guarantee.

Explore Creator Program
Superfan & Dormant Advocate Mapping
Named individuals with engagement history across your full catalog — not aggregate counts.
Content Longevity Classification
Evergreen vs. Flash vs. Sleeper — so you stop investing in content that dies in a week.
Evidence-Backed Content Strategy
Specific video recommendations with the verbatim audience quotes that justify each one.
Why Headwater

What makes the architecture different

The difference isn't features. It's what the architecture makes structurally possible — and what it makes structurally impossible.

Capability Headwater Brandwatch / Sprinklr Manual Freelancer Generic AI (ChatGPT)
Analysis depth 100K+ complete population Keyword monitoring Manual sampling 2–3K max per session
Individual-level tracking Full cross-content history No No No (no memory)
Dormant member detection Automated, scored, named No No No
Verified statistics (traceable) Every number has a source Partially (surface metrics) Subjective estimates None — hallucination risk
Attribution (who said what) Specific handle + content + date No Manual, limited Cannot attribute reliably
Turnaround 3–7 days Real-time (surface-level) 1–4 weeks Hours (shallow, unverified)
Cost $697–$5,000 per engagement $12K–$36K / year $1,500–$4,000+ Free (trust is the cost)
The structural point: Brandwatch and Sprinklr operate at the content level — keywords, sentiment, volume. Manual researchers work at the sample level. Generic AI operates without a verification layer. Headwater operates at the individual community member level across complete datasets, with a verification architecture that makes hallucination structurally impossible in the final output.

Your community is already
telling you what matters.

Most tools give you noise. We find the signal — and show you exactly where it came from.

Start a Project Creator Program → Intelligence Briefing →

Scoping calls are free. Typical turnaround 3–7 days. No contracts, no lock-in.